Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238125           5          24          56          13           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106423           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.09570e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             2.00       10.50       59.25       23.75        4.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3