Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238804           5          18          58          16           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109035           2          14          64          15           5        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   7.46392e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             2.25        8.25       59.25       25.25        5.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8