Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238810           5          17          59          16           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109554           2          13          64          15           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.25125e-07           1           0          54          35          10        C9.0
est. ISN   =            96           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.00        7.50       60.50       23.75        6.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9