Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239846           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110449           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.69728e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        5.75       63.00       24.50        5.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M6.3