Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251224           1           3          63          30           3        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127034           2           3          60          33           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   2.32195e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.00        1.75       55.00       36.50        5.75     C7.4
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7