Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241875           2          14          64          16           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111684           3           7          64          17           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.11801e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75        6.25       54.50       29.50        8.00     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0