Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243418           3          17          54          21           5        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114576           2           3          73          20           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.28038e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        7.00       54.75       30.75        5.75     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0