Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238465           5          19          57          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105930           2          14          59          20           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   9.28538e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.75       12.00       55.75       25.00        4.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6