Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235254           6          39          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000993942           2          21          49          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.95528e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       19.75       55.75       19.75        2.25     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0