Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238603           5          20          56          17           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104841           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.65576e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.25       12.25       56.00       24.50        4.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8