Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241939           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111895           3           6          64          18           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.33370e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       10.00       53.25       27.50        7.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0