Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242779           2          14          63          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113645           2           3          70          21           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.14493e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.50        7.75       54.25       29.50        6.00     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0