Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241965           2          15          62          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112893           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.04115e-06           1           0          29          59          11        M1.5
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.75        6.75       53.50       31.75        6.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4