Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241145           3          13          66          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112881           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.06287e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25        9.25       56.00       26.50        6.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4