Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241079           3          13          66          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112841           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.02734e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.75        5.75       58.00       29.25        5.25     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.8