Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263726           1           5          62          30           2        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149816           1           2          57          34           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   3.21431e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           111           1           0          56          35           8        C8.3
 
together                             0.50        2.00       50.25       39.50        7.75     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M4.6