Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258616           2           4          63          27           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142319           1           1          59          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.38409e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           118           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.50       49.75       40.00        8.00     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M6.0