Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249477           1           3          63          31           2        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127025           2           3          59          34           2        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   1.68786e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           126           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.50       49.75       41.25        6.50     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7