Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251016           1           5          60          32           2        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128351           1           2          64          30           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   1.81196e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           100           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             0.75        2.25       53.50       37.50        6.00     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6