Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249974           1           4          61          33           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127251           2           3          59          33           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.80668e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           103           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             1.00        2.25       52.75       38.25        5.75     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0