Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248209           1           5          59          31           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124756           1           1          65          30           3        C5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.70498e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.00        1.50       55.75       35.25        6.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C9.4