Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237639           3          25          61           9           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105528           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.42237e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       13.50       59.25       21.00        4.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3