Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237246           1          27          58          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103371           3          20          51          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.87306e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.25       20.50       55.00       18.75        3.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3