Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236359           4          30          57           8           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100958           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.69607e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C5.3
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       20.75       58.25       16.25        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9