Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238637           5          19          57          17           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105436           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.25090e-07           1           0          54          35          10        C9.0
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.25        9.25       57.25       26.00        5.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8