Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254211           1           1          70          24           4        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130818           2           2          64          28           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.49387e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.00        1.00       58.25       33.00        6.75     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0