Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244405           4          13          54          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114655           2           3          73          20           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.39868e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.00        4.00       55.25       32.00        6.75     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0