Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244219           3          15          53          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112395           3           5          66          17           9        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.66848e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.75        6.00       53.00       31.50        7.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7