Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243491           3          17          54          21           5        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111310           3           8          64          16           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.40368e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.75        7.25       52.75       30.50        7.75     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.8