Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241852           2          15          63          16           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110510           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.17561e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50        8.75       54.00       27.50        7.25     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.6