Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240291           2          13          64          19           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106665           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.06407e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        8.50       52.00       32.25        5.75     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7