Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238626           5          19          56          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104517           3          17          58          18           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.72800e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             2.25        9.25       56.00       28.00        4.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M6.3