Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239412           3          13          60          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106481           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   9.40573e-07           1           0          44          46           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75        7.00       59.50       27.50        4.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5