Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242300           1          13          62          20           4        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112940           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.15625e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75        9.00       54.25       28.25        6.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0