Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243919           3          14          53          26           4        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115609           4           3          72          19           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.32362e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.75        8.50       52.75       30.50        5.50     C6.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8