Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246564           2          14          55          22           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121724           1           4          65          27           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.44002e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           115           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             0.75        4.75       48.75       37.75        8.00     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.8