Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239341           2          12          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109798           2          13          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.51992e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        6.50       59.00       27.50        5.50     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9