Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237060           1          29          57          12           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105559           3          14          57          21           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.54169e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.00       14.50       61.25       19.25        3.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1