Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238893           5          17          57          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107210           2          14          64          17           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.18641e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             3.50       21.00       52.00       19.75        3.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C9.4