Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239774           1          11          64          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108468           3          13          65          17           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.84015e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.00       13.00       59.25       23.25        2.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9