Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238453           5          19          57          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106685           2          15          61          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.52315e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       13.50       57.50       23.00        3.50     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6