Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236944           1          29          58          11           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105418           3          14          57          21           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.87789e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             1.75       15.50       62.75       17.00        3.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7