Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238730           5          18          57          17           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105796           2          14          58          21           5        C4.1
GOES Xray  =   8.68870e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.25       21.50       49.00       22.50        3.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0