Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239893           1          13          62          22           2        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109862           2          13          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.04653e-06           1           0          28          58          13        M1.7
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        6.75       53.50       31.75        6.75     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4