Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243778           3          13          54          25           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115758           3           2          70          23           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.41199e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             2.00        4.00       54.25       33.00        6.75     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5