Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239202           3          14          59          22           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108311           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   8.58143e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       10.50       58.75       25.00        3.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6