Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236496           2          30          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103610           3          19          53          20           5        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.87445e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.50       16.75       61.25       17.75        2.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2