Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235958           4          33          52          10           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101033           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   6.46326e-07           1           0          63          30           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       15.00       58.25       21.25        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.1