Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239500           3          13          60          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105595           3          14          57          21           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.04578e-06           1           0          28          58          13        M1.7
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75        9.25       52.00       30.50        5.50     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      C8.8