Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241019           3          13          67          15           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111394           3           8          64          16           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.11596e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.75        6.25       56.00       29.00        7.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M7.2